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The Presentations

Did you miss the EPSRC Supergen Energy Networks Hub Risk Day 2019? Don't worry, you can download the presentations that were given here. Please note that not all presentations are available at the request of the authors.

Bert Zwart

Keynote 1

Cascading Failures, Rare Events, and Heavy Tails

Andrew Smith

Keynote 2

Bytes and Mortar: the potential for digital to transform the construction and infrastructure sectors

Constance Crozier


Stochastic Optimization of Electric Vehicle Charging with Solar Generation

Feras Alasali


Optimal Energy Controller of Energy Storage Systems Based on Load Forecasting for RTG Crane Networks

Mauro Escobar


Stochastic Defense Against Complex Grid Attacks

Behrang Shirizadeh


Assessing uncertainties towards an optimal 100% renewable electricity mix in France

Matteo Fasiolo


Generalized additive models for electricity demand forecasting: thinking inside the box

Zhongda Chu


Towards optimal System Scheduling with Synthetic Inertia Provision from Wind Turbines

Chris Dent


Famous quotes on energy systems modelling

Jack Kennedy


Emulation of the Availability of an Offshore Windfarm

Evelyn Heylen


A Multi-Dimensional Analysis of Reliability Criteria: From Deterministic N-1 to a Probabilistic Approach

Leontina Pinto


A New Approach for Risk Management in Electrical Energy Markets: Risk Sharing Contracts

Simon Tindermans


Capacity value of interconnection: What it is, how to compute it, and how to use it

Kris Poncelet


ELDEST: Generation Capacity Expansion Planning Model with Risk-averse Investors

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Keynote Speakers
Prof Bert Zwart

Prof Bert Zwart

Centrum Wiskunde & Informatica, Netherlands

Andrew J. T. Smith

Andrew J. T. Smith

Centre for Digital Built Britain

The EPSRC Supergen Energy Networks Hub Risk Day 2019 will feature two must-see keynote talks:


  • Prof Bert Zwart is a professor at Eindhoven University of Technology and leader of Stochastics at the Centrum Wiskunde & Informatica (Centre of Mathematics and Computer Science) in the Netherlands.

    His talk is titled "
    The stylized facts of cascading failures - a mathematicians perspective".

    Cascading failures in power grids seem to originate and propagate in a highly unpredictable manner, and can be caused by a variety of events that seem impossible to incorporate in a mathematical model. Still, data reveals several stylized facts, such as the fact that cascades propagate non-locally, and that the total size of the cascade has a probability distribution with a power tail.

    Prof Bert Zwart will be giving a partial overview of research done in this domain and also will report on joint work by himself, Tommaso Nesti (CWI), Fiona Sloothaak, and Sem Borst (TU/e) attempting to unravel the origin of the underlying power law.

  • Andrew J. T. Smith is the Research Programme Manager at The Centre for Digital Built Britain (CDBB).

    His talk is titled "Bytes and Mortar: the potential for digital to transform the construction and infrastructure sectors".

    The CDBB is a partnership between the UK government Department of Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy and the University of Cambridge. It focuses on building research capacity and informing policy about integrating digital technologies to enhance productivity and efficiency, with plenty of modelling thrown in too. 

What the Risk Day is all about

Power Systems  |  Risk  |  Uncertainty  |  Reliability  |  Modelling  |  Understanding

The EPSRC Supergen Energy Networks Hub Risk Day is continuing the tradition of the previous Durham Risk Day series (2010-2014) and is an annual seminar for researchers involved in all aspects of risk and uncertainty analysis applied to current and future power and energy systems. 

This one-day event will showcase the best research and industrial applications across the following topics:

Reliability analysis of system assets

Understanding high impact low probability events

Control and optimisation of uncertain power systems

Planning future energy systems under uncertainty

Modelling and quantifying uncertainty in energy systems

Communicating risk to energy system stakeholders and policy makers

The event (on Tuesday 5 March 2019) will be a mix of keynote presentations, oral presentations, and posters. We need you and your research to make it a success so make sure you get involved and make the most of this unique opportunity to meet other researchers focused on these crucial topics.

We Need You

Be a part of the EPSRC Supergen Energy Networks Hub Risk Day 2019

The EPSRC Supergen Energy Networks Hub Risk Day 2019 will only be a success with your involvement. We need you to come and present your research and discuss your ideas with the rest of us working in this area. 

Submissions are now closed - thanks for all the great summaries that you have sent.
We've got a great event lined up - scroll down to check out the programme.
You can submit anything to the Risk Day 


It can be something you've already published, something you've not published, something you're about to publish, or even just a new idea you're working on. Presenting at the Risk Day is about showcasing your research and starting conversations. Presenting at the Risk Day will not stop you from publishing your ideas elsewhere - we promise!

To be a part of Risk Day 2019...

You need to submit a one-page summary (using this template here) that describes what you will be presenting on the day. No extended abstracts or papers are required. You can include any figures or equations you need to clearly and concisely communicate your ideas. Just make sure you clearly cover:

  • The motivation for the research.

  • The unique aspects and novelty that make what you have done interesting.

  • The wider applicability and value of what you have done.

Once you have written your summary - please send it to

We'll decide whether to put you down for an oral or poster presentation based on the mix of submissions we receive but if you have a preference for an oral or poster - let us know in your email. We can't promise you'll get your request as it all depends on space - but we'll do our best to keep everyone happy.


Important dates

December 20, 2018

One-page Summary Submission Deadline (Extended)

Make sure you submit your one-page summary by this date to be in with a chance of presenting

January 14, 2019

Acceptance and Full Schedule Announced

We'll tell you if your presentation will be included and announce the full event schedule

January 21, 2019

Registration Opens

Spaces are limited so make sure you book your place once registration opens

March 01, 2019

Registration Closes

Registration will close a few days before the event and you can't buy your ticket on the day so make sure you register in advance

March 05, 2019

Supergen Energy Networks Hub Risk Day 2019

The big day!

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Get Involved
Presenter Information

If you have been allocated an oral presentation:

You will be given 12 minutes to present (with some time for Q&A afterwards).


We will be very strict on time to keep things running so please do not bring along a 20 minute presentation and just talk quickly – that never works. There are no limits on slides, only on time – which will be strictly enforced.


Don’t worry, there’s plenty of time in the schedule for you to have longer discussions about the details.


If you have been allocated a poster presentation:


Your poster must be A0 and portrait orientation.

We will not be accepting A4 slides on a poster board (we know you’re not that lazy but just in case). There’s no template – just make it look good.


You will also need to stand and present a 1 minute overview of your poster in the Poster Introduction Speed Round. You'll be doing with without slides. You’ll basically be trying to get the audience interested so they come over to say hello in the following poster sessions.

Event Details

Peterhouse Theatre,
University of Cambridge
, CB2 1RD, UK

Tuesday 5 March 2019

09:30 - 17:30

Registration is now closed


Unfortunately nothing this good comes for free and we need to charge a small registration fee (£45) to cover basic costs like event hire and food. It's still an absolute bargain though!



Registation is now open

Places as limited so don't leave it to the last minute, register early to secure your place.


Please note you will not be able to turn up and register on the day! Registration will close a few days before the event to make sure we know the final numbers.


Event Programme


The draft programme is shown below or you can download the full programme by clicking here. We will have a mix of oral and poster presentations with plenty of opportunities to discuss work and learn some new ideas.


Programme Overview v5.png


The one-day event will be held at the Peterhouse Theatre at the University of Cambridge. The striking theatre is in the heart of Peterhouse College and retains much of its original Victorian lecture room character. It is approximately one mile from Cambridge train station. If you are coming from further afield then the closest airport is London Stansted from which you can reach Cambridge in 40 minutes on the train. You can find more details about how to get to Cambridge by clicking this link.

The full address for searches and sat-navs is Peterhouse, Trumpington Street, Cambridge, CB2 1RD.

Please get in touch if you have any questions about how to find the venue.



This event is being hosted at the the University of Cambridge and is supported by the Supergen Energy Networks Hub. Get in touch to find out more about the Supergen Energy Networks Hub and their other events.

If you want to send your thanks and praise, we recommend sending it straight to the people making the day happen.

Dr Chris Dent

Dr Chris Dent

The University of Edinburgh

Dr Robin Preece

Dr Robin Preece

The University of Manchester

Event Details
EPSRC Supergen Energy Networks Hub

The EPSRC Supergen Energy Networks Hub brings together the vibrant and diverse energy networks community to gain a deeper understanding of the interactions and inter-dependencies of energy networks.  Led by Professor Phil Taylor from Newcastle University the Hub integrates a wide range of industrial and academic partners with other energy networks stakeholders. 


The EPSRC Supergen Energy Networks Hub aims to address the challenges of risk, technology, policy, data and markets for energy networks and is a collaboration between a consortium of universities:


  • Newcastle University – Prof Phil Taylor and Dr Sara Walker

  • The University of Manchester – Prof Vladimir Terzija and Dr Robin Preece

  • Cardiff University – Prof Jianzhong Wu

  • University of Bath – Prof Furong Li

  • University of Leeds – Prof Peter Taylor

Stay in the loop

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Energy Networks Hub Risk Day

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